POLL: Two months out, Pa. voters ‘very interested’ in 2020 elections | The Numbers Racket

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - SEPTEMBER 23: Signage at an early voting center on September 23, 2016 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Minnesota residents can vote in the general election every day until Election Day on November 8. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

A new poll from Franklin and Marshall College in Lancaster, Pa. says Pennsylvania voters remain very interested in the 2020 elections (72 percent) a little more than two months out from the Nov 3 general election. 

The poll, released Aug. 27, shows that voters from both parties have maintained enthusiasm for the presidential election, while independent voters were less likely to share that sentiment. 

The Franklin & Marshall poll includes the opinions of 681 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 321 Democrats, 272 Republicans, and 88 independents. The poll, conducted from Aug. 17-23, has a margin of error of 5.2 percent.

67 … the percentage of independent voters who say they are “very interested” in the 2020 elections. 

74 … the percentage of Democrats who say they are “very interested” in the 2020 elections. 

72 … the percentage of Republicans who say they are “very interested” in the 2020 elections.

If the election were held today …

If the election were held today, 81 percent of Republicans said they would vote for President Donald Trump, with 13 percent of Republicans saying they would vote for former vice president Joe Biden. Another 2 percent of Republicans said “other” and 4 percent remained undecided. 

Among Democrats, just 9 percent of respondents said they would vote for Trump, while 82 percent said they would vote for Biden. None said they would vote “other” and 8 percent of Democrats remain undecided. 

Demographics

Age, education, race, income and geographical region show the breakdown among Pennsylvania voters more clearly. 

Forty-four percent of respondents said they would vote for Trump were white. Just 8 percent were nonwhite voters. Meanwhile, 79 percent of nonwhite and 47 percent of white voters said they would vote for Biden.

When split by income, higher and lower earners tended to say they would vote for Biden. 

Forty percent of Trump voters said they earned less than $35,000, compared with 51 percent who earned the same and said they would vote for Biden. 

In the $35,000 – $70,000 range, 49 percent said they would vote for Biden, while 40 percent said they would vote for Trump. 

Biden has a commanding lead with voters who make more than $75,000, the poll found. 

Fifty-four percent of voters earning more than $75,000 said they would vote for Biden, compared with 38 percent who said they would vote for Trump. 

If the election were held today, 49 percent of voters with less than a high school education said they would vote for Biden, compared with 42 percent who said they would vote for Trump. 

For voters with some college background, 52 percent said they would vote for Trump, while 39 percent said they would vote for Biden. 

Biden has a double-digit lead (25 percent) among voters with a college degree, the poll shows (58-% v. 33%).

Cassie Miller
A native Pennsylvanian, Cassie Miller worked for various publications across the Midstate before joining the team at the Pennsylvania Capital-Star. In her previous roles, she has covered everything from local sports to the financial services industry. Miller has an extensive background in magazine writing, editing and design. She is a graduate of Penn State University where she served as the campus newspaper’s photo editor. She is currently pursuing her master’s degree in professional journalism at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. In addition to her role at the Capital-Star, Miller enjoys working on her independent zines, Dead Air and Infrared.