Biden leads the Pa. primary pack in new Emerson College poll | Friday Morning Coffee
Good Friday Morning, Fellow Seekers.
He isn’t even in the race yet, but former Veep Joe Biden has a comfortable lead in a putative Democratic primary pack, according to a new Emerson College poll.
In Emerson’s first Pennsylvania canvass of 2019, the poll of 359 voters shows Biden taking 39 percent of the vote in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups, with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders finishing second, taking 20 percent support.
U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., finishes third with 11 percent, while South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg rounds out the pack, taking 6 percent support. The poll, conducted from March 26 to March 28, has a margin of error of plus of minus 5.1 percent.
“Mayor Pete [Buttegieg] has performed well for our third poll in a row, indicating an increase in support for the South Bend Mayor, though Pennsylvania looks like it could be a Joe Biden firewall,” Emerson pollster Spencer Kimball said in a statement.
In head-to-heads with President Donald Trump, all the Democratic candidates fall within the margin of error, pollsters said. Biden (55-45 percent) and Sanders (55-45 percent) are the exceptions, pollsters found.
Trump carried Pennsylvania by 44,000 votes in 2016, breaking a three-decade-old streak of Democrats carrying the Keystone State in presidential years. Both Trump and Democrats badly want to hold or retake Pennsylvania in 2020.
Other key findings, according to Emerson:
- “Among those who voted for Sanders in the 2016 primary, he leads with 36 percent support, followed by Biden with 25 percent, Warren with 10 percent and Buttigieg with 7 percent.
- “Sanders, as he has done in previous Emerson polls, continues to perform the strongest among voters 18-29 years old, with 33 percent, followed by Biden with 18 percent, Hawaii U.S. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard – 13 percent and Warren – 12 percent.
- “Biden leads among all other age groups with 40 percent support among 30-49 years olds; 38 percent among 50-64 years olds, and 55 percent among those 65 years or older.”
“Sanders in this year’s state polling is consistently keeping between 35 percent to 60 percent of his vote from 2016, suggesting he has a strong base of supporters to work with,” Kimball said.
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